Like every other Manchester derby, this has been described as the biggest one yet. The magnitude of the game is unquestionable, but this game stands out more for it's unpredictability. For all my life, and certainly many years before, United have always been the favourites coming into the Derby. Whilst that may not have changed, there has certainly never been a finer margin of expectation between the two clubs.
After the recent episodes of 'Fergie time' and late goals, the heart-ache was put on hold as we ended the run with a somewhat dull affair ending in a 0-0 draw. A game in which both clubs were criticised for negativity and lack of adventure. Back then a point was satisfactory for both managers as there was more to lose in defeat than there was to gain in victory. Things may have changed as we head towards the end of the season. I know most City fans want us to go to Old Trafford and have a good go at United, be aggressive and press high up the pitch, whether Roberto Mancini's thoughts echo these sentiments will be unknown until 1:45pm tomorrow. As a man renowned for his cautious and somewhat defensive approach, it is easy to think Mancini's tactics will stay true to protocol, that we will go to Old Trafford and be happy to come away with a 0-0 draw.
I personally would love to see us take the game to United tomorrow. I think this is by far the strongest squad we have ever taken there and at this stage in the season we should set high targets. My view is that this is the game which really defines our goals for the season. We should aim to win at Old Trafford, if we get three points there then we are straight back in the title race, in a better position that I ever remember. If we don't win tomorrow then I think our main priority should be simply qualifying for champions league football next year. This was our target before the season and most City fans including myself will see that as a successful campaign.
As for the starting eleven, I don't think there will be much difference to the team which started again West brom last weekend. The one change which looks likely (depending on fitness) will be the return of Nigel De Jong. It seems a shame for James Milner to miss out after such a good performance last weekend, however I can't see Mancini dropping Barry or De Jong for a game as big as this. I expect Kolarov to continue in his more advanced role playing in front of Pablo Zabaleta, just behind David Silva and of course Carlos Tevez. Edin Dzeko offers a change in approach from the bench should things not go our way. The only other change I would like to see is Micah Richards returning to the right back slot. I did mention last week that Jerome Boateng was showing some encouraging signs of late and that last week in particular he looked miles better than he has done all season. Tomorrow's game however will be a different offering, with more defensive duties the time on the ball will be limited. This could possibly favour Micah Richards, especially in his form of late. Micah offers a more powerful and dynamic option in attack with his showings of raw power and pace proving more beneficial at times than the more cultured style of Boateng.
As for United, it has been confirmed that Ferdinand is out injured, a huge loss and no doubt the one player they would have wanted in the team after last weeks confidence-smashing defeat. His natural replacement Jonny Evans is also out injured, leaving Chris Smalling to partner Vidic at the back - certainly an area we can look to exploit. I expect Rooney and Berbatov to start together up front with Nani and Giggs providing the width.
I think our best chance in winning comes from keeping as much possession as possible. It has become obvious that good things happen when Carlos Tevez and David Silva are on the ball and the more possession we have the more opportunities they have to show some of their magic. Kolorov will provide some good direct wing play and always poses the threat of shooting from distance. Yaya Toure's customary role will provide strength and pace on the counter attack, our only possible imbalance could be a lack of width on the right.
As I previously mentioned I think this is the most unpredictable derby game in years, the kind of game which can be settled by an individual mistake. I certainly don't see another 4-3 unfolding.
Prediction - United 1-1 City - I think there will be similarities with the last derby game, there will be a fear of making mistakes and I think that will show. I don't expect a brilliant game, more like one that will be a massive anti-climax... again.
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